Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 9.739279 11.263629 12.897461 14.773085 16.860781 19.107161 21.700926
2025-06-15 7.861074 9.856010 12.128444 14.888706 18.129965 21.794120 26.227308
2025-06-22 6.475874 8.708091 11.386434 14.796063 18.977340 23.892644 30.059003
2025-06-29 5.569678 7.967498 10.977820 14.966420 20.037976 26.193800 34.145051
2025-07-06 4.869746 7.373112 10.647574 15.143045 21.042489 28.402787 38.147641
2025-07-13 4.404634 7.018296 10.564068 15.585492 22.356607 31.003789 42.692126
2025-07-20 3.970112 6.644077 10.399678 15.874968 23.445444 33.321194 46.922020
2025-07-27 3.513929 6.178516 10.052521 15.863660 24.095801 35.055451 50.418864
2025-08-03 2.961824 5.498163 9.326698 15.247193 23.851542 35.552300 52.257513
2025-08-10 2.587536 5.050467 8.897882 15.012829 24.103915 36.699027 54.969788
2025-08-17 2.240059 4.602743 8.423965 14.665579 24.154987 37.543024 57.265548
2025-08-24 1.974674 4.261752 8.084158 14.488814 24.428889 38.687133 59.986555
2025-08-31 1.703094 3.877638 7.642732 14.124244 24.403434 39.404242 62.137496
2025-09-07 1.545344 3.684446 7.501403 14.223184 25.076680 41.141916 65.776385
2025-09-14 1.374923 3.443883 7.255267 14.128507 25.434755 42.415583 68.768246
2025-09-21 1.261078 3.301814 7.169231 14.290381 26.195197 44.300962 72.689912
2025-09-28 1.159719 3.172186 7.093100 14.459604 26.966582 46.216707 76.695058
2025-10-05 1.100054 3.124982 7.164876 14.885614 28.165690 48.810812 81.763470
2025-10-12 1.027671 3.039696 7.155894 15.164475 29.127343 51.059193 86.358590
2025-10-19 0.930086 2.882416 6.992780 15.153492 29.599253 52.552277 89.838430
2025-10-26 0.785125 2.587999 6.528672 14.559251 29.052801 52.420046 90.823837
2025-11-02 0.691194 2.404681 6.273086 14.333382 29.120009 53.252218 93.299134
2025-11-09 0.598950 2.209141 5.972188 13.998782 28.976927 53.732890 95.227499